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New Report Posits Potential Mobility in Africa from Climate Impacts

Data shows that climate impacts may affect migratory patterns among vulnerable communities in Africa.

A new report from the Africa Climate Mobility Initiative (ACMI) titled "African Shifts: Addressing Climate-Forced Migration & Displacement" depicts African people's experience of climate vulnerability and presents possible scenarios for movements due to climate impacts on the continent between now and 2050. Finally, it presents eight key recommendations to be implemented between now and 2030 that focus on constructive, adaptive responses to climate mobility, in alignment with the 2030 Sustainable Development Goals and the Paris Agreement.

Using source data provided by NASA's Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC), Columbia University's Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN) contributed to the report by producing spatially explicit projections of both internal and international mobility that may occur from climate impacts, within and among African countries, up to the year 2050. This modeling builds on the innovative approaches of the World Bank’s "Groundswell" series of reports, for which CIESIN worked with City University of New York and the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research on the modeling. The modeling work was complemented with findings from field research conducted by the Mixed Migration Centre.

Screenshot of the Voices from the Frontlines website, showing a map of Africa overlaid with areas of red and green. Color saturation indicates the number of people leaving and arriving, with red indicating people leaving and green indicating new arrivals.
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African Shifts: Addressing Climate-Forced Migration

The ACMI is a joint undertaking between the African Union Commission, the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), the International Organization for Migration (IOM), and the World Bank. The CIESIN team was led by Alex de Sherbinin, deputy director and senior research scientist, and included Fabien Cottier, postdoctoral research scientist; Susana Adamo, research scientist; Briar Mills, former geographic information specialist; Greg Yetman, associate director for Geospatial Applications; Tricia Chai-Onn, senior geographic information specialist; and John Squires, geographic information specialist.

View the interactive website Voices from the Frontlines.

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Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC)